Ĺһ

 ƽ


    йΪӭ2008걱ˣӽ11ſ߲ɷơ

    ȥ121գй⽻м߻ᣬˡ˻ἰﱸ
ڻɷù涨 ˵ܹעǹ涨ĵ6ڻɷã
oñɷõλ͸˵ͬ⣬ٱйڵĽӴλӴͬ
߸йطʡݲɷǰҲйʡе벢׼¹涨ȷ涨o
21µʱЧ200711ʩУ20081017зֹ

    ߷ֱɷǰйǵ鱫ͮɹ
ηԼһٶάȨʿѵȡһλ
ɷϺάȨʦ֣ʱȴ־ܾ֣ȻѾĿǰԱ
Ȩע⣬ݡʢʱȵıһݹרṩڰ
ڼߴ򽻵ӢĽ̲Уһι߲ɷ÷ֹߵӢϰ
ԻҪ󾯲߲ɷ÷ֹʱҪԡɷó˲ɷ÷ΧΪ
ֹߴߡΪֹǻû˵ĸȥɷ÷ֹ


Ĺһ

    й¹涨Ǻ׷¼⣺һ¹涨Ȼſ˶
ߵĲɷƣͲУڳ˴ǰйĲɷǺܲɵģ
͵ڳ˴ǰй˵йгֵĲɷ̸֮ڶ
¹涨Ȼſ˶ߵƣȻ˵ϸֵ߳ɡ¹
o21µʱЧϡ͹ˣ¹涨ǷԭģӦüʵ
ȥ¹涨ǲԭģѹӦʵСһô˲
ԭ˷Ƹ꣬ɺͳ˳һʮ岻һ
¹涨ɴȣʵۡǳĹһ塣

    ǵ¹涨ʱЧԵйų⽻ʾ˻֮
йſŵĳ̶ȵoеĸ߼Ա͸¶Ѿⶨ˽5꽫𲽿
ý塣Щ˵ʵڲ߼Ϊ¹涨21ºзֹ˼Ҫ˵21
󽫻ָԭн϶Ƶľɹ涨˵ҪһչƵĸµĹ涨
йľ21ºһý壬Ǿζ涨Ļ
µĿеĹ涨ìܣδĹ涨ǰеĹ涨ڵģ
ⲻҪеĹ涨˲ڷֹй涨⡣˵¹涨21º
зֹζԺضҪָɹ涨ųʵ¹涨ֿԣҲ
ų¹涨ϽһŵĿԡȵءҪǱ˻ؾɹ涨Ŀ
ԡ

    ˵й䲼¹涨ѹΪˣйò
Ȩ״ĳŵò䲼һ¹涨ʾйֲ
Ȩ״ĳ⣬ȷ¹涨oЧoڰڼЧ
ϡùΪѣȻй䲼¹涨㲻˵ڸȨ
޽ԲٵƣҪָͨñȥٽйȨĸֺ
ˣΪйȷ¹涨oΪ˰˶ģһͲˡ
ǣȵ˻ɢй̬ȣֻصӣὫѾ
ۼ㹻ҲҲµĺʵ㣬Ǿйû취ˡ

    ôй޿ڰ֮ʵ¹涨չأⲢǾ޿ܡ
ڽ21йϸʵʩ¹涨ЧԾδĴϡ˵й
Ҳ̽ǣй̽ı׼ʲôأԣйı
׼ɵԭ򣬾ǷεľҲ壬oԼ
Ҫ档˵ףйĵĵoרȨǷܵв˵
йһžܾηĸĸǰΪָĸﲻвһרƣ
ҪܹѸĸ޶ķΧ֮ڡ


й׼ȷ֪

    ⵱Ȼʲôܡ˶֪йĸĸһʼάһרƵ
ǰ½еġˣǻǶԸĸǲΪĸܱȲĸã
Ҫǣܶ˶ţ˵һ͵˵ڸĸ߼һϵг
йͼĺйoоøĸøĸؽθĸй
ȻҪ⿪ţôͲòܹͨеĹ򣬶ЩͨеĹƱ
Ҳ뵽ǾͻȨγĳԼйΪӦȨʱ
ҪòƶӦķɣЩɷҲȨ
˵ȵȡ˵ĸͷųµµȻҪѸĸƽ
µķ

    ȻΪֹʵ֤ƶδؿסһЩѧҲʶ
һ㡣ǰ죬⽻־Foreign Affairs ŦԼѧλѧ
ڲ³˹ŵ¡˹Bruce Bueno de MesquitaΡ˹George W. 
Downs¡չ˵ԶʮǰСƽйãӶ
һķչʱܶ˶Ϊθĸ֮ʱԤԣ
ýŻᵼνŲӭԤԲǶйġֱ
ͳǻ۶ΪĶ÷չ޿ɱ⣨൱أӭλ
߷֣ЩʷŪˡڵ¼÷չͬһƵ
liberal democracy֮ϵʵ൱ҿܱԽԽȫ
صĶȨʾһȡþ÷չɹͬʱܿʹ
οƵѹλѧע⵽ˡһ͵úܲʵǾǣ
ڱУ÷չƶʱᱻǿ
Ҳжʱòº͵θı䣬ȴ˱仯ķΧӶסȨʧ

    ڰάġһŰġһȨӢ²һλ²־
ƣȥеĹͷɥʧȨԼν
Ǳ޴ͿӦ͹ı仯Ʒν
Ǳÿ͵ӦʹʱȴòҲƷˡ
ǡ֮ΡȻΪǡܡʱڸĸͬ
ʱǡ־ǵĸĸﷴסԼֽţƩ˵ǡ
ַ棬ǡǡȴѡʵлʵУǡԱСҪ
ǣǡĸá͡ӡڡӦʹʱ򡱾
ԥ

    迴ǣйҪеһЩĸζ߷ſƣڹ
ѹ֮ԲòڹѹòΪԼʵޡ
ۺϹйܿԽԽѹѹù
Լ־Ѿͷˡ

    ֶ˵вɶйĸĸﱧ룬ĪΪָĸձض
ϣĵطһҪԻĿѵʶ磬׷ɵ
ԶԶʤάרƵйԼҲʷһߣһҲ䲻𡣵
ǼؿɲԶӮʤع˹ȥʮʮʷ׷
ɵкܶɼ֮ϻ˵֪סǵĵ֮
м䣬йȨ׼ȷ֪


ע

    й̷ȨǰȨ1ѡȨͱѡȨ2ۡ
桢硢СʾȨ3ιһְȨ4ιй˾ҵ
ҵλ쵼ְȨʵȨУoеһ͵ȷʵ
ȨڶȨȨڶȨڹȨڻȨ
УɰġȨҲ󻯵⣬νᵣιְȨϸ
˵oָڹҼְȨ

    ҪָǣȨͬڹȨȨֲͬȨƩ˵ҵŮ
ģ˰ܷȻĹйȨ
10꣬ûͶƱ䣬˲ûѡȨͱѡȨɼȨ
ͬȨϸ˵ûѡȨͱѡȨoָûйְѡȨͱ
ѡȨѧУѡѧᣬȻǼѡȨҲбѡȨġ˵ԼкϷ
ھݣҲδҲûйȨ
Ȼгݵۡ桢ʾȻȨɼȨͬڹȨ
̷νȨĹ涨Ȩһ˹Ȩ
˲ɰĻȨʵǴش

